Indian Markets Steady Amid Trade Tensions

Indian equity benchmarks, the BSE Sensex and Nifty50, opened with minimal fluctuations on Friday, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. The BSE Sensex hovered around 77,550, while Nifty50 was positioned near 23,580. As of 9:16 AM, the Sensex recorded a slight decline of 60 points, or 0.077%, trading at 77,546.80, while Nifty50 fell by 7 points, or 0.030%, to 23,584.95. Investors are closely watching the revised US Q4 GDP data, which could influence market dynamics in the coming days.

Market Outlook Amid Global Developments

Market analysts are anticipating a consolidation phase, driven by optimism despite ongoing trade discussions between the US and India. Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Limited, noted that the market’s resilience stems from renewed buying activity by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). This has bolstered confidence among bullish investors, even in the face of potential tariff threats from former President Donald Trump. The upcoming monetary policy announcement on April 9 and the Q4 earnings reports are also pivotal events that could shape market sentiment.

Dr. Vijayakumar emphasized the importance of remaining calm during this period of uncertainty. He advised investors to wait for clearer signals before making significant moves, especially as the market navigates through the implications of Trump’s tariff proposals. The expected US PCE inflation data, set to be released today, will provide further insights into inflation trends, which are crucial for market direction.

Global Market Trends Affecting Local Indices

The performance of US equities on Thursday, which closed lower due to concerns over new trade tariffs, has had a ripple effect on Asian markets, including India. Investors reacted negatively to Trump’s tariff announcements, leading to declines in major US automotive stocks such as General Motors and Ford. This sentiment has carried over into Asian markets, where fears of escalating trade conflicts have overshadowed positive economic growth indicators from the US.

As a result, Asian equities experienced a downturn on Friday, reflecting the cautious mood among investors. The ongoing trade tensions and their potential impact on global economic stability remain a significant concern for market participants.

Investment Patterns and Market Movements

In the midst of these developments, foreign portfolio investors emerged as net buyers, acquiring shares worth Rs 2,240 crore on Thursday. Conversely, domestic institutional investors sold shares valued at Rs 696 crore. Notably, the net short position of FIIs decreased significantly from Rs 90,604 crore on Wednesday to Rs 30,555 crore on Thursday, indicating a shift in market dynamics. The surge in gold prices on Friday, driven by investor anxiety over trade conflicts, highlights a growing trend of seeking safe-haven assets amid market volatility. As investors navigate these uncertain waters, the focus remains on large-cap stocks, which are expected to maintain resilience due to continued FII interest.


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