Private Equity Investments Plummet 61% in Four Years

Private equity and venture capital investments in late-stage companies have experienced a staggering 61% decline over the past four years, dropping from $23.4 billion in 2021 to approximately $9 billion in 2024. This trend of cautious investing continues into the current fiscal year, with investments falling to nearly $1.2 billion in the first quarter of 2025, compared to $2 billion during the same period last year.

Decline in Late-Stage Investments

The data from research firm Venture Intelligence highlights a significant downturn in late-stage investments, which are defined as funding for companies over ten years old or those in Series G or later rounds. The number of deals has decreased from 197 in 2021 to just 165 in 2024. Arun Natarajan, founder of Venture Intelligence, noted that the so-called ‘Funding Winter’ has particularly impacted growth and late-stage deals, which peaked in 2021. He anticipates a gradual recovery, primarily driven by domestic investors and long-term foreign entities, including sovereign wealth funds and traditional private equity firms.

Market Recalibration

Karan Agarwal, director at PE firm Wilson and Hughes, emphasized that the drop in late-stage investments signals a fundamental recalibration of the market. He explained that 2021 was an anomaly characterized by excess liquidity and record-low interest rates, which led to aggressive growth bets. Today, capital is more expensive, and investors are prioritizing profitability over hypergrowth. This shift has resulted in a preference for smaller, more structured funding rounds, as many late-stage companies had previously raised capital at inflated valuations.

Future Investment Trends

Navin Honagudi, managing partner at Elev8 Venture Partners, predicts that the trend of selective investments will persist throughout the year. While some sectors may see recovery as macroeconomic conditions stabilize, the focus will shift toward sustainability rather than mere top-line growth. Investors are increasingly aware that the high-growth environment of the past may not return. However, opportunities remain, particularly in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, wealth technology, and consumer technology, which are expected to offer resilient and profitable business models.


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