HSBC Warns of Negative Cycle Triggered by Currency Weakness

MUMBAI: HSBC has reported a significant increase in its Indian operations, doubling pre-tax profits over the past four years. The bank, which has been present in India since 1853, is now the leading foreign bank by revenue, with a balance sheet totaling $50 billion. Hitendra Dave, CEO of HSBC India, discussed the bank’s focus on affluent banking and its strategies for growth in wealth management and digital services.

FCNR(B) Mobilisation and NRI Community Engagement

HSBC has established itself as the preferred global bank for India’s affluent clientele. The bank’s deposit mobilization reflects its strong presence in the non-resident Indian (NRI) community. Beyond FCNR(B) deposits, HSBC has facilitated Indian banks in raising dollar resources, deploying between $1.5 billion and $2 billion through bilateral bonds and foreign currency loans. The bank played a crucial role in overseas bond issues for two private banks, participating as the sole bank in these large transactions.

Asset Management and Mortgage Offerings

HSBC’s asset-liability management tools indicate the bank’s capacity to manage funds effectively. Even when parking funds in government securities, the bank expects a spread of 75-100 basis points. HSBC has introduced fixed-rate mortgages starting at 7.5% for the first three years to address buyer concerns regarding rising interest rates. As of March, the bank’s balance sheet stood at Rs 4.5 lakh crore, projected to exceed Rs 5 lakh crore soon, with growth also anticipated from its GIFT City operations.

Focus on Wealth and Affluent Banking

While HSBC is concentrating on affluent customers, it recognizes the mass affluent segment as a gateway to this market. The bank is enhancing its wealth and affluent banking services through digital platforms, advisory services, and cross-border products, including offshore accounts and premium cards. Of the 20 approved branches, eight have opened in cities with high mutual fund penetration and NRI populations, boosting FCNR(B) collections. Additionally, HSBC is establishing a stockbroking arm to further expand its offerings.

Foreign Investment Sentiment and Corporate Capex

Dave addressed concerns about India’s attractiveness to foreign investors, noting that financial markets often focus on short-term gains. He pointed out that significant debt issuance by U.S. companies and capital inflows into equities in Taiwan and Korea are drawing attention away from India. Currency weakness can create a negative feedback loop, deterring investment and putting pressure on the rupee. He emphasized that a shift in sentiment could occur with lower oil prices or major foreign direct investment announcements.

Corporate Financing and IPO Dynamics

Corporate capital expenditure has been sluggish, with current growth driven by capacity expansion through consolidation rather than large-scale projects. Well-capitalized groups like Tata and Adani are expanding using internal cash flows. HSBC has positioned itself as a leader in acquisition financing, having funded domestic mergers and acquisitions directly from its local-currency balance sheet. The bank noted that large IPOs are attracting new retail investors and international capital, demonstrating India’s capability to manage substantial liquidity.


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