Indian Stock Market Rises Amid Global Optimism

The Indian stock market opened on a positive note today, with both the BSE Sensex and Nifty50 indices showing significant gains. The BSE Sensex surged over 400 points, while Nifty50 climbed above 22,600. This upward trend follows a favorable global market sentiment, driven by recovery in the US markets and positive developments in Asia, particularly regarding China’s economic strategies.

Market Performance and Global Influences

As of 9:16 AM, the BSE Sensex was trading at 74,580.59, reflecting an increase of 411 points or 0.55%. Meanwhile, Nifty50 reached 22,634.45, up 126 points or 0.56%. The Indian markets experienced a boost on Monday, thanks to a rebound in global equities. The US markets showed signs of recovery after a challenging period, while Asian markets benefited from China’s plans to enhance consumption.

Investors are closely monitoring upcoming interest rate decisions from major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, both set to announce their policies this week. The Bank of England is also expected to provide insights on Thursday. Analysts predict that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain its current interest rates, considering inflation risks associated with US tariff policies.

Domestic Economic Indicators

Dr. V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, noted that the market appears to have bottomed out, although further corrections cannot be entirely dismissed. Positive domestic indicators, such as a projected 6.2% growth in FY25 Q3 GDP, a 5.1% increase in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), and a 16% rise in gross tax collections, contribute to a favorable outlook.

Additionally, the trade deficit is declining, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has dropped to 3.6%. Despite these encouraging domestic trends, Dr. Vijayakumar cautioned that global challenges, particularly from tariff disputes, could hinder sustained market growth. The recent optimism surrounding China’s economic revival and the attractive valuations of Chinese stocks have led to foreign capital inflows into China, resulting in selling pressure on Indian equities.

Foreign Investment Trends

On Monday, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) recorded net sales of Rs 4,488 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) purchased shares worth Rs 6,001 crore. This shift indicates a complex interplay between foreign and domestic investment dynamics in the Indian market. Notably, the net short position of FIIs decreased from Rs 1.84 lakh crore on Friday to Rs 1.71 lakh crore on Monday, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment.

 


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